Despite the topic, the book is actually quite optimistic and inspiring about the opportunity we have before us. Un livre essentiel pour comprendre les risques auquel fait face l'humanité. 'The Precipice: Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity' is the new book from Toby Ord, published March 5th (UK), March 24th (US). If all goes well, human history is just beginning. Threats to humanity, and how we address them, define our time. You can edit the text in this area, and change where the contact form on the right submits to, by entering edit mode using the modes on the bottom right. The Precipice: Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity. 人類は素晴らしいものであるはずだ。だから如何なる危機も乗り越えねば...という思想, 人類の存続に関わる existential risk について著者なりの筋に沿って整理してあるが、話が拡散しすぎていもる。その基本構造は概ね次のようになる。すなわち、人類の存在価値は計り知れないがその真価を顕すまで存続できるとは限らない。存続を脅かすリスクには自然に起因するものと人類自身に起因するものがあるが、今後数世紀の間は後者のリスクが高くこれを乗り越えられなければ存続はおぼつかない。一方、前者については人類が長期にわたり存続できれば必ずや解決策を見出すであろう。よって、今が正念場（precipice）というわけだ。. Please try again. From some of the earliest realisations of the possibilities that lie before us, through to a much deeper understanding of the nature and importance of the greatest threats and opportunities facing humanity. Ord's book seems endlessly focused on determining whether a situation could completely wipe out humanity or just cause life to suck for a few centuries / millennia. x 234 Know your risks and where the precipice may be. US$9.48, US$11.26 The Greatest Story Ever Told - So Far: Why Are We Here?
There's a problem loading this menu right now. The great virtue of this book is to put these threats into context as well as begin to conceive of how to deal with all of them together. Available. Your recently viewed items and featured recommendations, Select the department you want to search in. Toby David Godfrey Ord (born 18 July 1979) is an Australian philosopher. He then broadened these ideas by co-founding the effective altruism movement in which thousands of people are using reason and evidence to help the lives of others as much as possible. It is interesting to read Precipice alongside Pope Francis’s encyclical Laudato si’: On care for our common home, which explores many of the same themes as Ord, but in a very different key and with different basic assumptions. Email. .
Risks that could bring about extinction, which Ord calculates to be 1000 times more likely than “natural risks”, are the “big five”: the use of nuclear weapons, increasingly catastrophic climate change, other environmental damage, and two “future risks” (100 times higher than from existing technologies): deliberately engineered pandemics, and uncontrollable Artificial Intelligences unaligned with any human values. (You will need to register. Prime members enjoy FREE Delivery and exclusive access to music, movies, TV shows, original audio series, and Kindle books. With the current carona virus being a "risk" that is real, his use of pandemic risk was/is very timely. Though if he weren’t, reading this book would have made me wish that he were. You can set your address, phone number, email and site description in the settings tab.Link to read me page with more information. With the advent of nuclear weapons, humanity entered a new age, gaining the power to destroy ourselves, without the wisdom to ensure we won’t. His work focuses on the big picture questions facing humanity. Then there are anthropogenic risks such as: overpopulation, loss of biodiversity and depletion of the earth’s resources, which could all be catastrophic and lead to mass migration and huge numbers of deaths, but need not cause an inevitable total extinction of humanity. He is the founder of Giving What We Can and co-founder of the Effective Altruism movement, which has raised more than a hundred million pounds for some of the world's most deserving causes. Ord is a philosopher specializing in ethics at Oxford. The New Map: Energy, Climate, and the Clash of Nations, The WEIRDest People in the World: How the West Became Psychologically Peculiar and Particularly Prosperous, Green Swans: The Coming Boom in Regenerative Capitalism, Science Fictions: How Fraud, Bias, Negligence, and Hype Undermine the Search for Truth. Unable to add item to List. ", "Toby Ord is today's Carl Sagan. — ANGELA KANE, former UN High Representative for Disarmament Affairs, — STUART RUSSELL, author of Human Compatible, — MAX ROSER, founder of Our World In Data, — CHRISTINE PETERSON, cofounder of the Foresight Institute, Subscribe to my newsletter to download the first chapter. Since the particles of infinity have memory and retain experience, and of the potential of doing the right thing through love, it’s possible to simultaneously bind without capturing and support without limiting. Ord is right on with his handling of the existential risks that humanity faces and how they can or likely won't lead to existential catastrophe. The reviewer is at the Department of Genetics, Harvard University, Boston, MA 02115, USA. Anything that's not entirely fatal is tossed aside. The Book Depository Ltd.UK. The Precipice explores the science behind the risks we face. En lisant ce livre, on prend conscience des enjeux des siècles actuels. There could be “natural risks”: an asteroid strike, a supervolcanic eruption, a stellar explosion.
This vision, however, is a materialistic one, says David Atkinson. One credit a month to pick any title from our entire premium selection to keep (you’ll use your first credit now). US$14.99, US$17.02 Unlimited listening to select Audible Originals, audiobooks, and podcasts. There was a problem loading your book clubs. After viewing product detail pages, look here to find an easy way to navigate back to pages you are interested in. There was an error retrieving your Wish Lists. A whole new vision is needed. US$25.95, US$7.72 . Toby Ord's new book is a startling and rigorous contribution to this genre that deserves to be just as widely read (Evening Standard) Splendid . Well written. He rightly says that we need to develop our corporate wisdom alongside our technologies, but makes no reference to any of humanity’s traditions of wisdom teaching, nor to the transcendent values that motivate many people. Ord calculates the probabilities of total extinction caused by these to be very small. Your recently viewed items and featured recommendations, Select the department you want to search in, The Precipice: Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity. Un livre essentiel pour comprendre les risques auquel fait face l'humanité. It puts them in the context of the greater story of humanity: showing how ending these risks is among the most pressing moral issues of our time.
His current research is on risks that threaten human extinction or the permanent collapse of civilization, and on how to safeguard humanity through these dangers, which he considers to be among the most pressing and neglected issues we face. There's a problem loading this menu right now. For photographs of Toby suitable for press use, see the Press Kit. Non-subscribers can read four articles for free each month. Ord is a philosophy Fellow of Balliol College, Oxford, and works at an institute calculating the existential risks facing humanity, and the possibilities for any human future provided that the world is preserved habitable. All rights reserved. Since then, these dangers have only multiplied, from climate change to engineered pathogens and artificial intelligence. Toby Ord is a Senior Research Fellow in Philosophy at Oxford University. Please try again. Toby Ord, a senior research fellow in philosophy at the University of Oxford, is the author of The Precipice: Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity (Bloomsbury Publishing, 2020). Captivant.
Bring your club to Amazon Book Clubs, start a new book club and invite your friends to join, or find a club that’s right for you for free. Toby is optimistic but worried - [ ] In all areas literacy, life expectancy, quality of life, standard of living, etc. If we do not act fast to reach a place of safety, it may soon be too late. Know your risks and where the precipice may be. Find all the books, read about the author, and more. The Precipice by Toby Ord, 9781526600219, available at Book Depository with free delivery worldwide. The Precipice is a powerful book, written with a philosopher's eye . Human Compatible: Artificial Intelligence and the Problem of Control.